Skip to Content
Streetsblog California home
Streetsblog California home
Log In
Bicycling

Study: Shifting Commutes During Pandemic Reduced Cyclists Hit By Drivers

Cycling became safer during the pandemic last year because riders were more likely to use off-road trails during the middle of the day rather than using dangerous roadways during the traditional rush hour, a new study found.

The pandemic completely upended the commuting routines of almost everyone — and cyclists were no exception. Bike riders changed their habits by swapping morning commutes on crowded thoroughfares for multi-use paths when they took breaks during the day, according to a report in the upcoming issue of Journal of Transport & Health.

Researchers who analyzed trips on bike lanes and off-road trails in Arlington County, Virginia found midday bicycle traffic rose sharply — by 76 percent — between March and December 2020, compared with the same period the prior year.

Meanwhile morning rush-hour traffic on both kinds of paths plummeted 49 percent.

During evening hours, riders in the Northern Virginia suburbs favored off-road trails they had to themselves. There were 225,943 more cyclists detected on trails, a 6-percent increase on those routes from from 2019, while there were 22,989 fewer cyclists counted on the road, a 27-percent drop, during that span.

Throughout the day, ridership on the region’s most popular commuter routes plummeted 28 percent and surged 18 percent on its recreational routes.

As a result of Virginians’ changing commuting patterns, riding became safer. Traffic crashes that injured cyclists fell from 2.74 per 100,000 between 2013 and 2019 to 1.98 crashes per 100,000 last year, a 28-percent decrease, the study found (the severity of crashes remained consistent).

“Regardless of the effect that fewer (potentially faster-moving) vehicles had on bicycle crashes, it seems likely that Arlington injury crash rates decreased in 2020 because of the greater use of off-road trails,” the report said. “These findings point to the importance of available off-road multi-use trails in absorbing changes in travel behaviors without raising bicycle-motor vehicle injury crash risk.”

Cyclists preferred off-road paths even as roadway traffic fell 50 percent throughout the DC region at the start of the pandemic, and remained 18.5 percent below pre-pandemic levels about six months later.

One reason why there’s been a shift is that Northern Virginia and Washington DC officials have been expanding bike lane infrastructure over the past several years. Arlington County features a 18-mile loop along four separate trails that connect with each other and Fairfax County built 19 miles of new bike lanes starting in 2017.

“They’ve been building an off-road network for years and it’s paying off now that more people are using bikes,” said Jon Orcutt, advocacy director of Bike New York. “They have that option.”

Stay in touch

Sign up for our free newsletter

More from Streetsblog California

Armchair Urbanist Reviews Basics of California HSR

In case you haven't heard, this is getting built with or without the feds -- and the Armchair Urbanist has some ideas on how to get it done faster that don't involve changing the alignment

August 15, 2025

Bike Bakersfield, Calbike Team Up to Flip the Script on Kern County Grand Jury

A Kern County Grand Jury released a ludicrous report about Bakersfield's bike safety implementation. Local bicyclists demonstrate why it's wrong.

August 15, 2025

Friday’s Headlines

Bakersfiled cyclists fight back against grand jury report.

August 15, 2025

Talking Headways Podcast: The Powerless Brokers

Colin Parent of Circulate San Diego on why California can't build transit.

August 15, 2025

Good Times and Good Signs in Santa Rosa

Advocates take a walking tour of the new wayfinding between the Santa Rosa SMART train station and the bus Transit Mall.

August 14, 2025
See all posts